CPS distributions. Although some scenarios show a small negative shift for some models, the majority of the shifts are positive for all models, and almost all high-magnitude shifts occur in the positive direction. There are some outliers (e.g., Llama-2-7B-Chat and DeepSeek-LLM-7B-Chat), but the patterns are robust for the vast majority of models and across all contextual variations.
Rule-wise analysis. Averaging CPS across models within each scenario and testing against zero, context sensitivity holds across rules: 21 of the 24 testable rule–variation cells show a mean CPS significantly above zero. Shifts range from 0.004 (“Do not cheat,” consequentialist) to 0.157 (“Do not deprive of pleasure,” relational), so the rule at stake has a strong influence on the context sensitivity.
Flip rate and boundary mass. CPS captures graded probability shifts; the flip rate (FR) counts how often a variation is strong enough to overturn the preferred action (i.e., a flip across 0.5, e.g., by going from 0.3 to 0.6). The boundary mass (\text{BM}_{0.1}) is the share of scenarios whose base preference lies within 0.5 ± 0.1. Models with fragile base preferences are structurally more susceptible to flips. Yet DeepSeek-V3 and GPT-4.1 are highly decisive in base scenarios but frequently reverse their judgments under emotional or consequentialist variations, a capacity for contextual flexibility that overcomes internal moral priors.
Fine-tuning matters. In the Llama and Qwen families, newer and larger iterations show increased baseline robustness. Zephyr-7B-Beta and OpenHermes-2.5-Mistral-7B show higher flip rates and lower boundary mass than Mistral-7B-Instruct-v0.1 despite their shared pretrained backbone: the specific alignment process determines whether a model remains rigid or develops the capacity for moral contextual sensitivity.
Provider over geopolitics. We group the model providers by region (United States: Meta, Anthropic, OpenAI; China: Qwen, DeepSeek; Europe: Mistral) and compare the mean base preference and CPS of their models, computed on the 108 scenarios that contain all three variations. We find no systematic geopolitical patterns: OpenAI and Anthropic models are the most rule-adherent (P_\text{base} ≤ 0.335), while Meta's Llama models exhibit the second-highest violation rates (0.465), close to DeepSeek (0.467). This suggests lab-specific alignment rather than regional trends. Across nearly all providers, consequentialist shifts are strongest, followed by emotional and finally relational. Qwen and Mistral models show a “sensitivity gap,” reacting strongly to consequentialist cues but substantially less to others.
| Region | Provider | P_\text{base} | \text{BM}_{0.1} | CPS(C) | CPS(E) | CPS(R) |
| United States | Meta | 0.465 | 0.157 | 0.084 | 0.040 | 0.049 |
| Anthropic | 0.335 | 0.059 | 0.077 | 0.072 | 0.058 |
| OpenAI | 0.292 | 0.058 | 0.101 | 0.082 | 0.067 |
| China | Qwen | 0.363 | 0.116 | 0.129 | 0.058 | 0.031 |
| DeepSeek | 0.467 | 0.133 | 0.095 | 0.069 | 0.072 |
| Europe | Mistral | 0.427 | 0.155 | 0.130 | 0.069 | 0.045 |
Mean over each provider's models (108 scenarios with all three variations). P_\text{base}: mean MAL on the base scenarios; \text{BM}_{0.1}: share of base MALs within 0.5 ± 0.1.
Accessibility. Closed-source models are more rule-adherent and decisive than open-source ones (P_\text{base} = 0.310 vs. 0.428). Open-source models are more swayed by consequentialist variations, while closed-source models exhibit higher sensitivity to emotional and relational contexts, likely stemming from extensive proprietary safety-tuning and Constitutional AI frameworks [13].
Scale and pre-training volume. The largest models (>100B) are considerably more decisive (\text{BM}_{0.1} = 0.065) than small models (0.170), and sensitivity across all dimensions increases with scale. Models trained on small corpora (<5T tokens) are the least decisive and sensitive; sensitivity surges for medium corpora (5–20T) but plateaus or reverses for the largest (>20T).
Reasoning and refusals. Enabling reasoning (GPT-5.1, Qwen3-8B) yields slightly lower or comparable CPS, with differences bounded by 1.5 pp (sole exception: Qwen3-8B on consequentialist, 5.9 pp). Most models refuse or give invalid answers in fewer than 5% of cases, with Llama-2-7B-Chat as a clear outlier.